Sport Picks

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Gremio vs Cruzeiro

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Carlos Vinicius
21' Event
Carlos Vinicius
27' Event
Sinisterra L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Gremio and Cruzeiro finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Gremio
15%
Draws
51%
Cruzeiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruzeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Cruzeiro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Gremio Clean Sheet 16%
Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Cruzeiro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.3 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Gremio vs Cruzeiro
3:1
Apr 18, 2026 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Gremio
2:0
Nov 5, 2025 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs Cruzeiro
0:1
Jul 13, 2025 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Gremio
4:1
Nov 28, 2024 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Gremio
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Vinicius
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nardoni J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cruzeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinisterra L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio 30 / 100
Cruzeiro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Cruzeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cruzeiro conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Cruzeiro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio VS Cruzeiro
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio

(Home)
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0
Palmeiras
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2
Vasco
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1
Internacional
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Cruzeiro

(Away)
20 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 3
Cruzeiro
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1
Athletico-PR
02 Sept
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
30 Aug
Vasco
3 : 1
Cruzeiro
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