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Gremio vs Internacional - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio host Internacional in the Serie A Betano. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Gremio at 1.25 goals for, 1.06 against; Internacional at 1.24 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Gremio slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 3, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.13) back Gremio to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Gremio
15%
Draws
36%
Internacional
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gremio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Internacional haven't matched Gremio's recent run of results.
  • Gremio are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gremio Clean Sheet 20%
Internacional Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Internacional
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Gremio vs Internacional
3:1
Aug 27, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Internacional vs Gremio
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Gremio
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Gaucho
Internacional vs Gremio
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Gaucho
Gremio vs Internacional
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio 42 / 100
Internacional 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Internacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gremio scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Internacional's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Internacional's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio VS Internacional
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio

(Home)
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0
Palmeiras
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2
Vasco
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1
Internacional
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Internacional

(Away)
20 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 0
Internacional
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Internacional
2 : 3
Santos
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1
Internacional
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2
Internacional
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Atletico-MG 28 12 7 9 37:32 43
8 Santos 28 11 8 9 43:41 41
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Sao Paulo 28 10 6 12 33:32 36
11 Bragantino 28 10 6 12 33:32 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)