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Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Canaa U20

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Brasiliense U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio Valparaiso U20 play Canaa U20 in the Brasiliense U20 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gremio Valparaiso U20 averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Canaa U20 averaged 2.89 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Gremio Valparaiso U20 won 0, Canaa U20 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Gremio Valparaiso U20 and 2.69 for Canaa U20. This points to a Canaa U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gremio Valparaiso U20
15%
Draws
52%
Canaa U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canaa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Gremio Valparaiso U20 picked up more points recently compared to Canaa U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 2.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Canaa U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Valparaiso U20 Canaa U20
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 13 23
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.76 2.89
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Canaa U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20
4:0
Jun 15, 2024 Brasiliense U20
Canaa U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20
5:2
Jul 1, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Canaa U20
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Valparaiso U20 32 / 100
Canaa U20 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Canaa U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Canaa U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gremio Valparaiso U20 attacking → ← attacking Canaa U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Valparaiso U20 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Canaa U20 let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Gremio Valparaiso U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Canaa U20 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 74
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 3.38
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brasiliense U20862025:420
2Canaa U20862020:620
3Luziania U20861118:819
4ARUC U20840414:1112
5Gremio Valparaiso U20840412:1312
6Botafogo DF U20830515:229
7Samambaia U2081256:135
8Brasilia U2081255:205
9Ceilandense U2080176:241
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Capital DF U20852112:717
2Gama U20842214:414
3Santa Maria U20842215:914
4Brazlandia U20842210:714
5Paranoa U20833212:612
6Real Brasilia U20825115:611
7Planaltina U20824216:1210
8Legiao U2082068:186
9Samambaense U2080084:370