Sport Picks
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Candango U20
Brazil
Brasiliense U20 2025 
AI Match Summary
Gremio Valparaiso U20 in this Brasiliense U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Valparaiso U20.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gremio Valparaiso U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Gremio Valparaiso U20 have won more games recently than Candango U20.
- Candango U20 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Candango U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gremio Valparaiso U20 | Candango U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 2.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 22, 2025 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Candango U20
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gremio Valparaiso U20 19 / 100
Candango U20 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Candango U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Candango U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Candango U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Gremio Valparaiso U20 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Candango U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gremio Valparaiso U20 VS Candango U20
2 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Gremio Valparaiso U20
(Home) 26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2 Ceilandia U20
19 Jul
Planaltina U20
6 : 0 Gremio Valparaiso U20
11 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
3 : 2 Cruzeiro DF U20
04 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 : 4 Santa Maria U20
27 Jun
Canaa U20
4 : 0 Gremio Valparaiso U20
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26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2 Ceilandia U20
11 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
3 : 2 Cruzeiro DF U20
04 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 : 4 Santa Maria U20
20 Jun
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 : 3 Real Brasilia U20
30 May
Gremio Valparaiso U20
5 : 0 Ceilandense U20
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Candango U20
(Away) 25 Jul
Candango U20
10 : 0 ARUC U20
11 Jul
Samambaia U20
6 : 0 Candango U20
04 Jul
Candango U20
0 : 5 Sobradinho U20
27 Jun
Gama U20
3 : 3 Candango U20
20 Jun
Legiao U20
2 : 0 Candango U20
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11 Jul
Samambaia U20
6 : 0 Candango U20
27 Jun
Gama U20
3 : 3 Candango U20
20 Jun
Legiao U20
2 : 0 Candango U20
07 Jun
Brazlandia U20
0 : 1 Candango U20
30 May
Capital DF U20
5 : 1 Candango U20
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canaa U20 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 35:12 | 21 |
| 2 | Sobradinho U20 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 26:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Real Brasilia U20 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Samambaia U20 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 5 | Planaltina U20 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 14 |
| 6 | Gama U20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 13 |
| 7 | Paranoa U20 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 8 | ARUC U20 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13:20 | 7 |
| 9 | Cruzeiro DF U20 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:22 | 7 |
| 10 | Samambaense U20 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1:63 | 0 |
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasiliense U20 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 48:2 | 25 |
| 2 | Capital DF U20 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 33:4 | 24 |
| 3 | Gremio Valparaiso U20 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18:11 | 20 |
| 4 | Santa Maria U20 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:12 | 19 |
| 5 | Ceilandia U20 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:26 | 11 |
| 6 | Legiao U20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 7 | Candango U20 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 8 | Luziania U20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 9 | Riacho City U20 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:31 | 4 |
| 10 | Ceilandense U20 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10:39 | 3 |
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2025 (Play Offs)
