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Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Ceilandia U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Brasiliense U20 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Brasiliense U20 2022 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Gremio Valparaiso U20
20%
Draws
36%
Ceilandia U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gremio Valparaiso U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Gremio Valparaiso U20 have won more games recently than Ceilandia U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Gremio Valparaiso U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gremio Valparaiso U20, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Ceilandia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Valparaiso U20 Ceilandia U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.9 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.97 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Ceilandia U20
4:2
May 17, 2025 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Ceilandia U20
4:0
Jul 10, 2022 Brasiliense U20
Ceilandia U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20
2:1
Jul 7, 2022 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Ceilandia U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Valparaiso U20 29 / 100
Ceilandia U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Ceilandia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Valparaiso U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceilandia U20 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Gremio Valparaiso U20 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Gremio Valparaiso U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Valparaiso U20 VS Ceilandia U20
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 4.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Valparaiso U20

(Home)
26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2
Ceilandia U20
19 Jul
Planaltina U20
6 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
11 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
3 : 2
Cruzeiro DF U20
04 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 : 4
Santa Maria U20
27 Jun
Canaa U20
4 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
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Ceilandia U20

(Away)
26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2
Ceilandia U20
18 Jul
Ceilandia U20
1 : 1
Ceilandense U20
04 Jul
Ceilandia U20
5 : 0
Luziania U20
28 Jun
Santa Maria U20
2 : 2
Ceilandia U20
21 Jun
Ceilandia U20
1 : 6
Canaa U20
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ceilandia U20 2
Gremio Valparaiso U20 1
Planaltina U20 6
Real Brasilia U20 2
Clube Atletico Taguatinga U20 1
Legiao U20 0
Gama U20 5
Luziania U20 2
Semi-finals
Ceilandia U20 5
Planaltina U20 1
Clube Atletico Taguatinga U20 2
Gama U20 3
Final
Ceilandia U20 1
Gama U20 0