Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Luziania U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luziania U20 in this Brasiliense U20 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luziania U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gremio Valparaiso U20
6%
Draws
4%
Luziania U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gremio Valparaiso U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gremio Valparaiso U20 have won more games recently than Luziania U20.
  • Gremio Valparaiso U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Luziania U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Valparaiso U20 Luziania U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Luziania U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20
1:3
Jun 14, 2025 Brasiliense U20
Luziania U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20
0:1
May 11, 2024 Brasiliense U20
Luziania U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20
1:3
Jun 10, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Luziania U20
1:3
Jun 18, 2022 Brasiliense U20
Luziania U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Valparaiso U20 85 / 100
Luziania U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Luziania U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luziania U20 let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Gremio Valparaiso U20's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Luziania U20's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Valparaiso U20 VS Luziania U20
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasiliense U20862025:420
2Canaa U20862020:620
3Luziania U20861118:819
4ARUC U20840414:1112
5Gremio Valparaiso U20840412:1312
6Botafogo DF U20830515:229
7Samambaia U2081256:135
8Brasilia U2081255:205
9Ceilandense U2080176:241
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Capital DF U20852112:717
2Gama U20842214:414
3Santa Maria U20842215:914
4Brazlandia U20842210:714
5Paranoa U20833212:612
6Real Brasilia U20825115:611
7Planaltina U20824216:1210
8Legiao U2082068:186
9Samambaense U2080084:370