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Gremio Valparaiso vs Taguatinga Prediction & H2H Stats

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Brasiliense 2
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AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2 game between Gremio Valparaiso and Taguatinga finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taguatinga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gremio Valparaiso
30%
Draws
42%
Taguatinga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Taguatinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Taguatinga come out ahead of Gremio Valparaiso on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Taguatinga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Gremio Valparaiso Clean Sheet 10%
Taguatinga Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Valparaiso Taguatinga
Matches Played 19 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.42 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Brasiliense 2
Gremio Valparaiso vs Taguatinga
0:2
Sep 2, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Gremio Valparaiso vs Taguatinga
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Valparaiso 10 / 100
Taguatinga 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Valparaiso Taguatinga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taguatinga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taguatinga has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Gremio Valparaiso stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Gremio Valparaiso found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (19 games).

Scoring Trends

Gremio Valparaiso VS Taguatinga
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Valparaiso

(Home)
26 Sept
Legiao
3 : 3
Gremio Valparaiso
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 2
Taguatinga
06 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
1 : 1
Candango
30 Aug
Planaltina
1 : 1
Gremio Valparaiso
Page 1 of 4

Taguatinga

(Away)
27 Sept
Taguatinga
0 : 1
Planaltina
12 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 2
Taguatinga
06 Sept
Taguatinga
1 : 0
Canaa EC
29 Aug
Candango
0 : 4
Taguatinga
20 Oct
Taguatinga
0 : 1
Legiao
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 4 3 0 1 7:1 9
2 Planaltina 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
3 Canaa EC 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
4 Gremio Valparaiso 5 1 3 1 11:7 6
5 Legiao 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
6 Luziania 4 1 1 2 3:9 4
7 Candango 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
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