Sport Picks

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Gremio W vs Cruzeiro W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio W host Cruzeiro W in the Brasileiro Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Gremio W at 1.63 goals for, 0.88 against; Cruzeiro W at 2.25 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Gremio W slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2025, ending 4:3. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.56) point toward Gremio W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Gremio W
39%
Draws
31%
Cruzeiro W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gremio W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gremio W Clean Sheet 15%
Cruzeiro W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio W Cruzeiro W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Gremio W
4:3
Jun 16, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Gremio W vs Cruzeiro W
1:0
Feb 25, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Gremio W
1:1
Mar 6, 2022 Brasileiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Gremio W
0:0
Apr 21, 2021 Brasileiro Women
Gremio W vs Cruzeiro W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio W 30 / 100
Cruzeiro W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio W Cruzeiro W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cruzeiro W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Gremio W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio W VS Cruzeiro W
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio W

(Home)
24 Jul
CR Flamengo W
2 : 2
Gremio W
27 May
Internacional W
1 : 0
Gremio W
24 May
EC Juventude W
1 : 1
Gremio W
16 May
Gremio W
3 : 0
Mixto W
10 May
Bragantino W
0 : 3
Gremio W
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Cruzeiro W

(Away)
25 Jul
Cruzeiro W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
21 Jul
Fluminense W
2 : 1
Cruzeiro W
28 May
Cruzeiro W
5 : 0
Doce Mel W
24 May
Vitoria W
2 : 2
Cruzeiro W
19 May
Cruzeiro W
3 : 2
Corinthians W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians W13101235:1331
2Sao Paulo W1392221:929
3Palmeiras W1384127:1028
4Bahia W1373324:1724
5Internacional W1372414:1023
6Ferroviaria W1365219:1223
7CR Flamengo W1365221:1523
8Cruzeiro W1356224:1621
9Bragantino W1362521:2020
10Gremio W1353519:1418
11Santos W1345413:1517
12Fluminense W1344514:1516
13Atletico-MG W1333714:1812
14EC Juventude W132477:1210
15Mixto W131578:248
16America Mineiro W131396:266
17Vitoria W131399:326
18Botafogo RJ W1312108:265
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)