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Gremio W vs Cruzeiro W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Vitoria Calhau
41' Event
Leidiane
51'
Romero M.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between Gremio W and Cruzeiro W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gremio W
30%
Draws
39%
Cruzeiro W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cruzeiro W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Gremio W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Gremio W Clean Sheet 16%
Cruzeiro W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio W Cruzeiro W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 11
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.67 2.67
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Gremio W vs Cruzeiro W
2:0
Mar 23, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Gremio W
4:3
Jun 16, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Gremio W vs Cruzeiro W
1:0
Feb 25, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Gremio W
1:1
Mar 6, 2022 Brasileiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Gremio W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leidiane
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leticia Nunes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Cruzeiro W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio W 31 / 100
Cruzeiro W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio W Cruzeiro W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzeiro W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cruzeiro W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Gremio W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio W VS Cruzeiro W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio W

(Home)
03 Oct
Gremio W
0 : 0
Internacional W
27 Sept
Gremio W
13 : 0
Forquetense W
20 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha W
0 : 3
Gremio W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
29 Aug
Gremio W
0 : 0
Sao Paulo W
Page 1 of 6

Cruzeiro W

(Away)
03 Oct
Cruzeiro W
1 : 0
America Mineiro W
27 Sept
Cruzeiro W
16 : 0
Araguari W
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
19 Sept
Democrata GV W
0 : 4
Cruzeiro W
07 Sept
Corinthians W
3 : 1
Cruzeiro W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)