Sport Picks
Grenada vs Saint Lucia
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Kirani James Athletic Stadium, St. George's 
Match Events
13'
13'
Forino-Joseph C.
Assist: Myers A.
21'
21'
Jn Baptiste D.
24'
24'
Nelson S.
AI Match Summary
Saint Lucia in this CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint Lucia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grenada
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Saint Lucia have won more games recently than Grenada.
- Grenada are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Grenada have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Grenada Clean Sheet 20%
Saint Lucia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grenada | Saint Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.79 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 15, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Lucia vs Grenada
0:4
Sep 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Grenada vs Saint Lucia
1:2
Mar 3, 2023 Friendly International
Grenada vs Saint Lucia
2:0
Feb 28, 2019 Friendly International
Grenada vs Saint Lucia
1:0
Jun 30, 2017 Friendly International
Grenada vs Saint Lucia
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grenada Compare
Top Goalscorer Akins L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.4
Saint Lucia Compare
Top Goalscorer Forino-Joseph C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jn Baptiste D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grenada 42 / 100
Saint Lucia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grenada Saint Lucia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Saint Lucia let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Away concern: Saint Lucia has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Grenada found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Grenada VS Saint Lucia
2.75 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.83
100% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 83%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Grenada
(Home) 16 May
Ireland
5 : 0 Grenada
30 Mar
Grenada
0 : 3 Kenya
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0 Grenada
18 Jan
Grenada
0 : 1 Jamaica
15 Nov
Grenada
4 : 1 United States Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 6
30 Mar
Grenada
0 : 3 Kenya
18 Jan
Grenada
0 : 1 Jamaica
15 Nov
Grenada
4 : 1 United States Virgin Islands
11 Oct
Grenada
2 : 0 Cuba
08 Oct
Grenada
4 : 1 British Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 4
Saint Lucia
(Away) 27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1 Saint Lucia
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1 Saint Lucia
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0 Saint Lucia
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1 Barbados
06 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0 Saint Lucia
Page 1 of 6
27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1 Saint Lucia
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1 Saint Lucia
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0 Saint Lucia
06 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0 Saint Lucia
18 Nov
Curacao
4 : 1 Saint Lucia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Salvador | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bonaire | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 3 | Grenada | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Saint Martin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 4 | Aruba | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:17 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Bermuda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 12 |
| 3 | Dominica | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | 4 |
| 4 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
