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Grenada vs Saint Martin

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Stadion Ergilio Hato, Willemstad
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Denis R.
Assist: Montantin Y.
40'
Francis J.
46'
Sub
Varsovie S. In: Mauvais N.
Out: Varsovie S.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Grenada and Saint Martin finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Martin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Grenada
15%
Draws
64%
Saint Martin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Grenada haven't matched Saint Martin's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Saint Martin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Grenada here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Grenada Clean Sheet 17%
Saint Martin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenada Saint Martin
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Grenada vs Saint Martin
0:3
Sep 7, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Martin vs Grenada
0:2
Nov 16, 2018 CONCACAF Nations League
Grenada vs Saint Martin
5:2
Aug 3, 2002 Gold Cup
Saint Martin vs Grenada
1:7
Jul 5, 2002 Gold Cup
Grenada vs Saint Martin
8:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grenada Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Saint Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Lebon K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Denis R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenada 10 / 100
Saint Martin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenada Saint Martin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Martin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.20 goals per match.

Grenada scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Saint Martin has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Grenada stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grenada VS Saint Martin
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenada

(Home)
16 May
Ireland
5 : 0
Grenada
30 Mar
Grenada
0 : 3
Kenya
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
18 Jan
Grenada
0 : 1
Jamaica
15 Nov
Grenada
4 : 1
United States Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 7

Saint Martin

(Away)
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Saint Martin
0 : 1
Belize
12 Nov
Dominica
1 : 2
Saint Martin
09 Nov
Saint Martin
1 : 2
Anguilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Bonaire 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
4 Montserrat 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 4 1 1 15:3 13
2 Saint Lucia 6 3 0 3 7:15 9
3 Grenada 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Saint Martin 6 2 0 4 8:13 6
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 6 0 0 29:5 18
2 Puerto Rico 6 3 0 3 11:12 9
3 Sint Maarten 6 3 0 3 7:18 9
4 Aruba 6 0 0 6 5:17 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dominican Republic 6 6 0 0 27:4 18
2 Bermuda 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
3 Dominica 6 1 1 4 6:18 4
4 Antigua and Barbuda 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)