Sport Picks

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Grenades vs Aston Villa

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grenades in this ABFA Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grenades.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Grenades
20%
Draws
28%
Aston Villa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grenades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Grenades have won more games recently than Aston Villa.
  • Grenades are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Grenades Clean Sheet 10%
Aston Villa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenades Aston Villa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 24 20
Draws 3 2
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 2.77 3.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Grenades
1:7
Nov 22, 2025 ABFA Premier League
Grenades vs Aston Villa
2:1
Mar 23, 2025 ABFA Premier League
Grenades vs Aston Villa
1:6
Dec 30, 2024 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Grenades
1:2
Apr 28, 2024 ABFA Premier League
Grenades vs Aston Villa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenades 83 / 100
Aston Villa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenades Aston Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grenades scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Aston Villa let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Grenades has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grenades VS Aston Villa
3.88 Goals Scored 2.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenades

(Home)
10 May
Grenades
3 : 1
All Saints United
03 May
Grenades
1 : 0
Pigotts Bullets
29 Apr
Old Road
0 : 3
Grenades
25 Apr
Grenades
4 : 0
Attacking Saints
14 Apr
Grenades
3 : 1
Garden Stars
Page 1 of 6

Aston Villa

(Away)
26 Apr
Aston Villa
2 : 2
Green City
18 Apr
Aston Villa
9 : 0
Jennings Utd
11 Apr
Aston Villa
1 : 7
Grenades
04 Apr
Ottos Rangers
2 : 2
Aston Villa
28 Mar
Attacking Saints
2 : 3
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grenades 22 19 2 1 65:18 59
2 All Saints United 22 18 2 2 72:19 56
3 Aston Villa 22 14 2 6 69:43 44
4 Pigotts Bullets 22 12 3 7 40:25 39
5 Old Road 22 10 6 6 75:37 36
6 Potters FC 22 9 6 7 41:36 33
7 Garden Stars 22 8 7 7 48:40 31
8 Green City 22 6 5 11 35:41 23
9 Attacking Saints 22 7 2 13 37:49 23
10 John Hughes 22 5 1 16 17:68 16
11 Ottos Rangers 22 3 2 17 24:67 11
12 Jennings Utd 22 2 0 20 10:90 6
Promotion - ABFA Premier League (Play Offs)