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Grenoble W vs Marseille W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women
Wed, Dec 9, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coupe de la Ligue Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Grenoble W have averaged 1.24 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Marseille W's 1.68 scored and 1.68 conceded. Past meetings favor Marseille W slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (0.88 - 2.50) back Marseille W to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Grenoble W
35%
Draws
37%
Marseille W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marseille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Marseille W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Marseille W a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Marseille W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marseille W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Grenoble W Clean Sheet 10%
Marseille W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenoble W Marseille W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Marseille W vs Grenoble W
3:1
Apr 16, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Grenoble W
1:3
Nov 6, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Marseille W
0:0
Feb 6, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Grenoble W
2:2
Sep 26, 2021 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Marseille W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenoble W 22 / 100
Marseille W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenoble W Marseille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grenoble W scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Marseille W conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Grenoble W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grenoble W VS Marseille W
1 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenoble W

(Home)
17 Oct
Grenoble W
1 : 0
Nice W
04 Oct
Lille W
1 : 1
Grenoble W
27 Sept
Grenoble W
3 : 0
Cannes W
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Cannes W
5 : 1
Grenoble W
Page 1 of 6

Marseille W

(Away)
18 Oct
Marseille W
2 : 2
Fleury 91 W
03 Oct
Strasbourg W
3 : 3
Marseille W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Strasbourg W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
3 Auxerre W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
4 Lens W 4 2 0 2 6:5 7
5 Thonon Evian W 4 3 0 1 7:11 7
6 Fleury 91 W 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
7 Le Mans W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
8 St Etienne W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
9 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
10 Roubaix W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
11 Saint-Malo W 3 2 0 1 4:2 5
12 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
13 Montpellier W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
14 Cannes W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
15 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
16 Lille W 4 0 0 4 5:8 2
17 Nice W 3 1 0 2 4:9 2
18 Bourges 18 W 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
19 Toulouse W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)