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Grenoble W vs Metz W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Ballarin L.

AI Match Summary

Metz W in this Seconde Ligue Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metz W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Grenoble W
15%
Draws
85%
Metz W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grenoble W lately — more wins on the board than Metz W.
  • Model gives Grenoble W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Metz W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Grenoble W Clean Sheet 10%
Metz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenoble W Metz W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.24 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Metz W
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Grenoble W
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Metz W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grenoble W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Metz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballarin L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenoble W 34 / 100
Metz W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenoble W Metz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Metz W conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Grenoble W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Metz W has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grenoble W VS Metz W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenoble W

(Home)
13 Sept
Cannes W
5 : 1
Grenoble W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
29 Aug
Saint-Malo W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
16 Aug
Marseille W
3 : 1
Grenoble W
Page 1 of 6

Metz W

(Away)
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
29 Aug
Lens W
3 : 0
Metz W
22 Aug
Metz W
2 : 4
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metz W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Cannes W 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
3 Le Mans W 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Lille W 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
5 Auxerre W 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
6 St Etienne W 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
7 Roubaix W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Thonon Evian W 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
9 Bourges 18 W 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
10 Nice W 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
11 Grenoble W 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)