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Gresford vs Chirk AAA FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gallagher-Keenan T.
29' Event
Mann C.
45' Event
Ozlu H.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2023/2024 game between Gresford and Chirk AAA FC finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gresford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gresford
30%
Draws
47%
Chirk AAA FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chirk AAA FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Chirk AAA FC haven't matched Gresford's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Cymru North 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gresford Clean Sheet 15%
Chirk AAA FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gresford Chirk AAA FC
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.71 1.2
Goals Conceded 2 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 15, 2023 Cymru North
Gresford vs Chirk AAA FC
6:0
Nov 5, 2023 Cymru North
Chirk AAA FC vs Gresford
0:0
Apr 10, 2023 Cymru North
Gresford vs Chirk AAA FC
2:2
Aug 19, 2022 Cymru North
Chirk AAA FC vs Gresford
0:0
Sep 12, 2009 FAW Welsh Cup
Chirk AAA FC vs Gresford
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gresford Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallagher-Keenan T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Mann C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Chirk AAA FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresford 35 / 100
Chirk AAA FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresford Chirk AAA FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chirk AAA FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chirk AAA FC let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Gresford found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (38 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Gresford remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gresford VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresford

(Home)
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 8

Chirk AAA FC

(Away)
26 Apr
Buckley
3 : 2
Chirk AAA FC
01 Apr
Chirk AAA FC
1 : 1
Porthmadog
29 Mar
Llanidloes Town
1 : 2
Chirk AAA FC
23 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
2 : 2
Caersws FC
16 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
3 : 2
Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holywell Town FC 30 26 3 1 79:17 81
2 Flint Town 30 25 3 2 94:30 78
3 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 23 5 2 84:28 74
4 Mold Alexandra 30 18 1 11 66:50 55
5 Bangor 1876 30 17 2 11 62:55 53
6 Denbigh 30 15 4 11 71:60 49
7 Ruthin Town 30 12 6 12 58:52 42
8 Guilsfield 30 11 7 12 48:46 40
9 Caersws FC 30 10 9 11 60:53 39
10 Gresford 30 10 7 13 47:54 37
11 Buckley 30 10 6 14 54:60 36
12 Llandudno FC 30 10 1 19 59:80 31
13 Prestatyn 30 7 5 18 39:74 23
14 Porthmadog 30 6 4 20 35:66 22
15 Chirk AAA FC 30 3 4 23 32:82 13
16 Llanidloes Town 30 2 3 25 25:106 9
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2024/2025 (Main)