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Gresford vs Guilsfield

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Tilsley D.
27' Event
Flory S.
41' Event
Roberts J.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Gresford and Guilsfield finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guilsfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Gresford
30%
Draws
58%
Guilsfield
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guilsfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Guilsfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Guilsfield taking it.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%
Guilsfield Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gresford Guilsfield
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Gresford
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Gresford
4:0
Jul 26, 2025 Cymru North
Gresford vs Guilsfield
1:3
Mar 8, 2025 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Gresford
4:1
Sep 13, 2024 Cymru North
Gresford vs Guilsfield
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gresford Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Guilsfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Tilsley D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flory S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresford 10 / 100
Guilsfield 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresford Guilsfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guilsfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guilsfield conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Gresford scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Gresford stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gresford VS Guilsfield
0.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresford

(Home)
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0
Gresford
16 Aug
Gresford
0 : 5
Brickfield Rangers
Page 1 of 7

Guilsfield

(Away)
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
05 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Guilsfield
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
28 Aug
Buckley
3 : 1
Guilsfield
22 Aug
Guilsfield
2 : 2
Ruthin Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
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