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Gresford vs Newtown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Hyne J.
28' Event
Hyne J.
87' Event
Boakye H.

AI Match Summary

Newtown in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newtown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gresford
15%
Draws
54%
Newtown
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Gresford haven't matched Newtown's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Newtown taking it.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Newtown have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%
Newtown Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gresford Newtown
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Cymru North
Gresford vs Newtown
0:3
Mar 6, 2026 Cymru North
Newtown vs Gresford
0:5
Oct 31, 2025 Cymru North
Gresford vs Newtown
1:2
Jun 30, 2023 Club Friendly
Newtown vs Gresford
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gresford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Newtown Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyne J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Boakye H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresford 22 / 100
Newtown 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresford Newtown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Gresford scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Newtown's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Gresford remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gresford VS Newtown
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresford

(Home)
03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Gresford
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 7

Newtown

(Away)
03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2
Newtown
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 10 9 0 1 26:6 27
2 Newtown 9 7 1 1 18:3 22
3 Mold Alexandra 10 6 2 2 24:13 20
4 Porthmadog 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Bala 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Caersws FC 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
7 Bangor 1876 10 5 1 4 23:18 16
8 Guilsfield 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
9 Buckley 10 3 3 4 22:17 12
10 Llanuwchllyn 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
11 Rhyl 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
12 Ruthin Town 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
13 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
14 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 Gresford 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
16 Penrhyncoch 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)