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Gresik vs Persekat Tegal

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Sradion Gelora Joko Samudro, Gresik
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Bhagascara C.
Assist: Silva A.
23' Event
Jaelani A.
28'
Maulana S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gresik
35%
Draws
26%
Persekat Tegal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gresik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Persekat Tegal haven't matched Gresik's recent run of results.
  • Gresik are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gresik Clean Sheet 68%
Persekat Tegal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gresik Persekat Tegal
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.23 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Championship
Gresik vs Persekat Tegal
2:2
Jan 20, 2025 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs Gresik
1:2
Nov 4, 2023 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs Gresik
1:0
Sep 10, 2023 Championship
Gresik vs Persekat Tegal
2:0
Nov 4, 2022 Championship
Gresik vs Persekat Tegal
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gresik Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaelani A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Persekat Tegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Bhagascara C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Ferreira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresik 77 / 100
Persekat Tegal 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresik Persekat Tegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gresik found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Persekat Tegal has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gresik remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Persekat Tegal
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresik

(Home)
21 Feb
Persibo Bojonegoro
0 : 0
Gresik
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0
Gresik
09 Feb
Gresik
2 : 2
Persekat Tegal
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
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Persekat Tegal

(Away)
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2
Balikpapan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1
Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2
Persekat Tegal
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0
Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSMS Medan 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
2 Sriwijaya 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
3 Nusantara 6 2 1 3 6:12 7
4 Persikota Tangerang 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isenmulang Kalteng 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Bekasi City 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
3 Dejan 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Persikabo 1973 6 0 1 5 8:17 1
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiku Kudus 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
2 Persekat Tegal 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
3 Persibo Bojonegoro 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
4 Gresik 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
5 Persewar Waropen 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikas Subang 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
2 Persipal BU 8 5 0 3 10:5 15
3 Persipura Jayapura 8 4 2 2 18:6 14
4 Persipa Pati 8 2 3 3 9:7 9
5 RANS Nusantara 8 0 2 6 3:25 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)