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Gretna 2008 vs Bonnyrigg Rose

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gretna 2008 play Bonnyrigg Rose in the Lowland League 2025/2026. Bonnyrigg Rose are favorites here. Recently, Gretna 2008 averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Bonnyrigg Rose averaged 2.23 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Gretna 2008 won 2, Bonnyrigg Rose won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Gretna 2008 and 2.50 for Bonnyrigg Rose. This points to a Bonnyrigg Rose double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Gretna 2008
19%
Draws
56%
Bonnyrigg Rose
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Bonnyrigg Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Gretna 2008 picked up more points recently compared to Bonnyrigg Rose.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gretna 2008 Bonnyrigg Rose
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.37 2.23
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Bonnyrigg Rose
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Gretna 2008
1:2
Dec 18, 2021 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Bonnyrigg Rose
1:3
Jul 31, 2021 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Gretna 2008
6:2
Feb 13, 2021 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gretna 2008 25 / 100
Bonnyrigg Rose 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gretna 2008 Bonnyrigg Rose

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonnyrigg Rose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Bonnyrigg Rose & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gretna 2008 attacking → ← attacking Bonnyrigg Rose

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gretna 2008 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bonnyrigg Rose let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Gretna 2008 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Bonnyrigg Rose lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 62
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Linlithgow Rose34243789:3975
2Clydebank FC34234794:3973
3Bonnyrigg Rose34216779:4269
4Tranent FC34207763:3267
5Caledonian Braves341851175:4859
6Cumbernauld Colts341751272:5356
7Broxburn Athletic341571268:6152
8Berwick341471362:6849
9Boness United341461461:5648
10Celtic B3412101273:7146
11Cowdenbeath341291351:5345
12Gala Fairydean Rovers341321952:6641
13Albion Rovers341231948:7139
14Civil Service Strollers341151840:7938
15Stirling University34971855:8234
16Hearts B34781942:7829
17Gretna 200834772050:9028
18East Stirlingshire34532648:9418