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Gretna 2008 vs Cumnock Juniors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Scottish Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Gretna 2008 have averaged 1.59 scored and 2.38 conceded recently, against Cumnock Juniors's 1.95 scored and 1.9 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 2.63, favoring Cumnock Juniors. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Gretna 2008
15%
Draws
40%
Cumnock Juniors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gretna 2008

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gretna 2008 come out ahead of Cumnock Juniors on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Gretna 2008 taking it.
  • Gretna 2008 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%
Cumnock Juniors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gretna 2008 Cumnock Juniors
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.59 1.95
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gretna 2008 56 / 100
Cumnock Juniors 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gretna 2008 Cumnock Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gretna 2008 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gretna 2008 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Cumnock Juniors let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.

Gretna 2008 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Cumnock Juniors registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gretna 2008 VS Cumnock Juniors
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gretna 2008

(Home)
17 Oct
Gretna 2008
2 : 2
Johnstone Burgh
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1
Gretna 2008
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Gretna 2008
3 : 1
Celtic B
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
Page 1 of 7

Cumnock Juniors

(Away)
10 Oct
Cumnock Juniors
1 : 2
Renfrew
02 Oct
Cumnock Juniors
2 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
26 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
4 : 0
Cumnock Juniors
23 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
4 : 0
Troon FC
16 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
2 : 0
Beith
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Boness United 3
Irvine Meadow 2
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Edinburgh City -
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Kelty Hearts -
Rothes 0
Brora Rangers 9
Cowdenbeath 4
Berwick 0
Newton Stewart 1
Johnstone Burgh 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
Formartine Utd 2
Brechin 3
Buckie Thistle 2
Strathspey Thistle 3
Dalbeattie Star 2
Lochee United 3
Inverurie Loco Works 2
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Spartans -
Haddington Athletic 0
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1
Banks O' Dee 2
Hill Of Beath 2
Glasgow University 0
Musselburgh 2
Lossiemouth 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Largs Thistle 1
Dunipace 5
Preston Athletic 2
Dumbarton -
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Keith 2
Stonehaven 1
Nairn County 0
Gretna 2008 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Deveronvale 2
Troon FC 3
Caledonian Braves 4
Fraserburgh 0
Beith 0
Huntly 3
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Annan -
Forres Mechanics 0
Stirling University 1
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Elgin City -
Renfrew 3
Broxburn Athletic 2
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Bonnyton Thistle 2
East Stirlingshire 0
Clachnacuddin 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Stranraer -
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Tayport FC 3
Wick Academy 0
Penicuik 3
Kilwinning Rangers 1
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Clyde -
Threave Rovers 3
Invergordon 2
Pollok 4
Albion Rovers 1
Linlithgow Rose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Tranent FC 3
Turriff United 1
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1/64-finals
Boness United -
Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
Kelty Hearts -
Brora Rangers -
Cowdenbeath -
Johnstone Burgh -
Formartine Utd -
Brechin -
Strathspey Thistle -
Lochee United -
Spartans -
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Banks O' Dee -
Hill Of Beath -
Musselburgh -
Largs Thistle -
Dunipace -
Dumbarton -
Keith -
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Troon FC -
Caledonian Braves -
Huntly -
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Stirling University -
Elgin City -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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