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Gretna 2008 vs Newton Stewart - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Chapman T.
29' Event
Anderson I.
Assist: Oram A.
88' Event
Galloway J.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Gretna 2008 and Newton Stewart finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gretna 2008.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Gretna 2008
15%
Draws
21%
Newton Stewart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gretna 2008

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Newton Stewart haven't matched Gretna 2008's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gretna 2008 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%
Newton Stewart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gretna 2008 Newton Stewart
Matches Played 33 22
Wins 10 2
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.7 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.67 3.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Newton Stewart
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gretna 2008 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chapman T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Newton Stewart Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gretna 2008 83 / 100
Newton Stewart 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gretna 2008 Newton Stewart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gretna 2008 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gretna 2008 scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Newton Stewart's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gretna 2008 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gretna 2008 VS Newton Stewart
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
3.5 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gretna 2008

(Home)
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1
Gretna 2008
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Gretna 2008
3 : 1
Celtic B
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
12 Sept
Gretna 2008
2 : 3
Pollok
Page 1 of 7

Newton Stewart

(Away)
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3
Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Caledonian Braves
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5
Troon FC
29 Aug
Cumnock Juniors
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)