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Grevenmacher vs Kaerjeng

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021 Op Flohr Stadion, Grevenmacher
Grevenmacher Logo

Grevenmacher

2 - 3
FT
Kaerjeng Logo

Kaerjeng

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Kaerjeng advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Grevenmacher
15%
Draws
57%
Kaerjeng
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaerjeng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaerjeng come out ahead of Grevenmacher on wins alone.
  • Kaerjeng are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Kaerjeng arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kaerjeng, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kaerjeng have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Grevenmacher Clean Sheet 13%
Kaerjeng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grevenmacher Kaerjeng
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 20
Draws 1 2
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.2 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2020 Luxembourg Cup
Grevenmacher vs Kaerjeng
2:3
Nov 22, 2015 Luxembourg Cup
Kaerjeng vs Grevenmacher
1:0
Apr 12, 2015 BGL Ligue
Kaerjeng vs Grevenmacher
1:2
Sep 28, 2014 BGL Ligue
Grevenmacher vs Kaerjeng
0:2
Mar 8, 2014 BGL Ligue
Grevenmacher vs Kaerjeng
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grevenmacher 10 / 100
Kaerjeng 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grevenmacher Kaerjeng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaerjeng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kaerjeng conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Grevenmacher scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Grevenmacher has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grevenmacher VS Kaerjeng
3 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Grevenmacher

(Home)
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
3 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
0 : 3
UNA Strassen
28 Oct
Grevenmacher
2 : 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
01 Oct
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 2
Grevenmacher
30 Oct
Grevenmacher
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 6

Kaerjeng

(Away)
20 Sept
Syra Mensdorf
1 : 9
Kaerjeng
16 Sept
Dudelange
2 : 4
Kaerjeng
11 Sept
Kaerjeng
5 : 0
Victoria Rosport
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1
Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Kaerjeng
6 : 0
Hesperange
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Union Titus Petange 2
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Troisvierges 0
Racing Luxembourg 11
FC Schengen 1
Differdange 5
FC Ehlerange 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 0
Jeunesse Canach 4
Syra Mensdorf 1
FC Mamer 0
FF Norden 1
Luxembourg City 2
Avenir Beggen 3
Mondercange 2
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Fola 4
Echternach 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Rumelange 10
FC Munsbach 2
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Mertzig 0
Dudelange 5
Oberkorn 2
Esch 1
US Feulen 0
Hostert 1
Grevenmacher 2
Kaerjeng 3
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Hesperange 4
Erpeldange 1
Schifflange 3
Harlange/Tarchamps 0
Wiltz 8
CS Sanem 2
Bettembourg 0
AS Wincrange 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Diekirch 0
Mondorf 6
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Bissen 4
FC Noertzange HF 0
Jeunesse Esch 6
Steinfort 1
Jeunesse Junglinster 3
Union Tetange 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 -
Blo Weiss Medernach -
Kehlen 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
AS Luxembourg/Porto 2
Victoria Rosport 5
Cebra 2
UNA Strassen 3
1/16-finals
Union Titus Petange -
Ettelbruck -
Racing Luxembourg -
Differdange -
FC Ehlerange -
Jeunesse Canach -
Syra Mensdorf -
Luxembourg City -
Avenir Beggen -
Fola -
Mertert/Wasserbillig -
Rumelange -
Alisontia Steinsel -
Dudelange -
Oberkorn -
Hostert -
Kaerjeng -
Hesperange -
Schifflange -
Wiltz -
CS Sanem -
FC Rodange 91 -
Lorentzweiler -
Mondorf -
Bissen -
Jeunesse Esch -
Jeunesse Junglinster -
FC Yellow Boys Weiler -
TBD -
Progres Niedercorn -
Victoria Rosport -
UNA Strassen -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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