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Grijo vs Estarreja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014
Grijo Logo

Grijo

0 - 1
FT
Estarreja Logo

Estarreja

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estarreja in this Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estarreja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Grijo
15%
Draws
49%
Estarreja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estarreja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estarreja lately — more wins on the board than Grijo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Grijo Clean Sheet 10%
Estarreja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grijo Estarreja
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.4 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Grijo vs Estarreja
0:1
Mar 9, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Estarreja vs Grijo
1:3
Dec 1, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Estarreja vs Grijo
1:1
Sep 8, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Grijo vs Estarreja
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grijo 30 / 100
Estarreja 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grijo Estarreja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estarreja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estarreja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 34 matches.

Grijo's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Difficult form: Estarreja registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grijo VS Estarreja
1 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grijo

(Home)
21 Aug
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Grijo
24 May
SC Lusitania
2 : 1
Grijo
11 May
Grijo
1 : 2
Lusitano FCV
04 May
Bustelo
0 : 2
Grijo
27 Apr
Grijo
0 : 1
Estarreja
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Estarreja

(Away)
07 Sept
Guarda FC
5 : 4
Estarreja
11 Sept
Estarreja
1 : 2
Aguias do Moradal
14 May
Agueda
2 : 2
Estarreja
07 May
Estarreja
3 : 1
Mortagua FC
30 Apr
CD Gouveia
3 : 1
Estarreja
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cinfaes 14 8 2 4 19:11 38
2 Anadia 14 6 4 4 17:14 35
3 Lusitano FCV 14 7 3 4 16:11 34
4 SC Lusitania 14 5 4 5 11:10 31
5 SC Espinho 14 5 4 5 18:17 28
6 Estarreja 14 6 2 6 12:19 28
7 Grijo 14 4 3 7 19:23 26
8 Bustelo 14 2 4 8 10:17 23
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)