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Grimma vs Bautzen

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Grimma Logo

Grimma

2 - 4
FT
Bautzen Logo

Bautzen

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 game between Grimma and Bautzen finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bautzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Grimma
20%
Draws
29%
Bautzen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grimma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bautzen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Grimma taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Grimma Clean Sheet 12%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grimma Bautzen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.43 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Grimma vs Bautzen
2:4
Aug 10, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Grimma
7:0
May 3, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Grimma vs Bautzen
1:4
Nov 3, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Grimma
1:2
May 5, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Grimma
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grimma 65 / 100
Bautzen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grimma Bautzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grimma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bautzen has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Grimma scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Grimma has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grimma VS Bautzen
1.83 Goals Scored 1.63
1.83 Goals Conceded 3.5
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Grimma

(Home)
30 May
Grimma
3 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
17 May
Plauen
0 : 1
Grimma
09 May
Grimma
2 : 4
Krieschow
03 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 0
Grimma
26 Apr
Grimma
2 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
Page 1 of 6

Bautzen

(Away)
20 Sept
Bautzen
3 : 2
Glauchau
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5
Eilenburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
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