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Grimsby vs Lincoln City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Walker J.
27' Event
Vernam C.
39' Event
Amaluzor J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Grimsby and Lincoln City finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grimsby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Grimsby
15%
Draws
59%
Lincoln City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lincoln City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Lincoln City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 18%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grimsby Lincoln City
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.72 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Grimsby vs Lincoln City
5:1
Jul 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Grimsby vs Lincoln City
2:1
Oct 8, 2024 EFL Trophy
Grimsby vs Lincoln City
1:2
Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Grimsby vs Lincoln City
2:0
Jul 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Grimsby vs Lincoln City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grimsby Compare

Top Goalscorer Cook A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Walker J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Lincoln City Compare

Top Goalscorer Jefferies D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grimsby 31 / 100
Lincoln City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grimsby Lincoln City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grimsby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grimsby scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Lincoln City conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Grimsby remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grimsby VS Lincoln City
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grimsby

(Home)
06 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 1
Burton
03 Oct
Grimsby
1 : 2
Shrewsbury
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1
Grimsby
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1
Grimsby
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Crawley Town
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Lincoln City

(Away)
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1
Lincoln City
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1
Lincoln City
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0
Lincoln City
05 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 1
Southampton
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