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Grimsby vs Lincoln City

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Walker J.
27' Event
Vernam C.
39' Event
Amaluzor J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Grimsby and Lincoln City finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grimsby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Grimsby
15%
Draws
27%
Lincoln City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grimsby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Very High Confidence
  • Lincoln City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Grimsby taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 20%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grimsby Lincoln City
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 18 20
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Grimsby vs Lincoln City
5:1
Jul 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Grimsby vs Lincoln City
2:1
Oct 8, 2024 EFL Trophy
Grimsby vs Lincoln City
1:2
Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Grimsby vs Lincoln City
2:0
Jul 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Grimsby vs Lincoln City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grimsby Compare

Top Goalscorer Cook A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Walker J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lincoln City Compare

Top Goalscorer Jefferies D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grimsby 85 / 100
Lincoln City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grimsby Lincoln City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grimsby scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: Grimsby remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Lincoln City has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grimsby VS Lincoln City
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grimsby

(Home)
04 Aug
Grimsby
3 : 2
Grimsby Borough
01 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 0
Wigan
29 Jul
Boston United
0 : 0
Grimsby
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1
Lincoln City
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3
Grimsby
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Lincoln City

(Away)
01 Aug
Barnsley
3 : 0
Lincoln City
01 Aug
Doncaster
0 : 1
Lincoln City
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1
Lincoln City
17 Jul
Lincoln City
0 : 2
Leyton Orient
11 Jul
Boston United
0 : 1
Lincoln City
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