Sport Picks
Grimsby vs Manchester United
England
EFL Cup 2025/2026 Blundell Park, Cleethorpes 
Match Events
22'
22'
Vernam C.
Assist: Burns D.
30'
30'
Warren T.
Assist: Vernam C.
36'
36'
Fredricson T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Grimsby advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Manchester United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Grimsby a 42% chance of winning this.
- Manchester United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Grimsby, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 19%
Manchester United Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grimsby | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2025 EFL Cup
Grimsby vs Manchester United
3:2
Mar 17, 2048 Premier League
Grimsby vs Manchester United
1:1
Oct 11, 2047 Premier League
Manchester United vs Grimsby
3:4
Dec 28, 2046 Premier League
Grimsby vs Manchester United
0:0
Aug 31, 2046 Premier League
Manchester United vs Grimsby
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grimsby Compare
Top Goalscorer Vernam C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Warren T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Manchester United Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbeumo B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maguire H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grimsby 42 / 100
Manchester United 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grimsby Manchester United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Grimsby scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Manchester United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Grimsby remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Grimsby VS Manchester United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Grimsby
(Home) 08 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 3 Blackpool
04 Aug
Grimsby
3 : 2 Grimsby Borough
01 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 0 Wigan
29 Jul
Boston United
0 : 0 Grimsby
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1 Lincoln City
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 3 Blackpool
04 Aug
Grimsby
3 : 2 Grimsby Borough
01 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 0 Wigan
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1 Lincoln City
10 May
Grimsby
1 : 2 Salford
Page 1 of 3
Manchester United
(Away) 08 Aug
PSG
1 : 1 Manchester United
01 Aug
Manchester United
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
24 Jul
Rosenborg
0 : 5 Manchester United
18 Jul
Manchester United
0 : 1 Wrexham
24 May
Brighton
0 : 3 Manchester United
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
PSG
1 : 1 Manchester United
24 Jul
Rosenborg
0 : 5 Manchester United
24 May
Brighton
0 : 3 Manchester United
09 May
Sunderland
0 : 0 Manchester United
18 Apr
Chelsea
0 : 1 Manchester United
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
