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Grimsby vs Salford

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Blundell Park, Cleethorpes
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Staunton R.
4' Event
Cesay K.
19'
Garbutt L.

AI Match Summary

Salford in this League Two 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Grimsby
35%
Draws
34%
Salford
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Grimsby average 1.93 goals a game right now, well clear of Salford's 1.39.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Salford, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 68%
Salford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grimsby Salford
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.93 1.39
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 League Two
Salford vs Grimsby
2:2
May 10, 2026 League Two
Grimsby vs Salford
1:2
Mar 3, 2026 League Two
Grimsby vs Salford
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 League Two
Salford vs Grimsby
0:2
Mar 15, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Salford
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grimsby Compare

Top Goalscorer Staunton R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Salford Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesay K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oluwo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grimsby 41 / 100
Salford 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grimsby Salford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grimsby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grimsby scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Grimsby went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Salford has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Grimsby VS Salford
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grimsby

(Home)
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Crawley Town
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Bristol Rovers
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2
Grimsby
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2
Grimsby
29 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 2
Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 6

Salford

(Away)
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Swindon
12 Sept
Rotherham
3 : 3
Salford
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Port Vale
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1
Newport
29 Aug
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Salford
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Notts County 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 4
Grimsby 3
Final
Notts County 3
Salford 0