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Grimsby vs Wigan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sweeney J.
26'
Sub
Sze C. In: Harrison R.
Out: Sze C.
63'
Sub
Cartwright H. In: Auton S.
Out: Cartwright H.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Grimsby and Wigan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grimsby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Grimsby
15%
Draws
59%
Wigan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wigan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grimsby come out ahead of Wigan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Grimsby's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Grimsby here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 68%
Wigan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grimsby Wigan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.72 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Grimsby vs Wigan
2:0
Jul 29, 2017 Club Friendly
Grimsby vs Wigan
1:1
Aug 24, 2004 EFL Cup
Grimsby vs Wigan
1:0
Feb 14, 1998 League One
Wigan vs Grimsby
0:2
Oct 4, 1997 League One
Grimsby vs Wigan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grimsby Compare

Top Goalscorer Sweeney J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cook A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Wigan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grimsby 50 / 100
Wigan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grimsby Wigan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grimsby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grimsby scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Wigan has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Grimsby has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grimsby VS Wigan
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grimsby

(Home)
06 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 1
Burton
03 Oct
Grimsby
1 : 2
Shrewsbury
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1
Grimsby
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1
Grimsby
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Crawley Town
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Wigan

(Away)
22 Sept
Wigan
3 : 2
Blackpool
19 Sept
Wigan
0 : 1
Wycombe
12 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Wigan
05 Sept
Wigan
0 : 4
Stockport County
02 Sept
Wigan
3 : 1
Milton Keynes Dons
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