Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grindavik vs Afturelding

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Grindavíkurvöllur
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Runarsson E.
20' Event
Holtan J.
39'
Hakonarson V.

AI Match Summary

Afturelding in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afturelding.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Grindavik
6%
Draws
90%
Afturelding
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Afturelding lately — more wins on the board than Grindavik.
  • Model gives Afturelding a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Grindavik Clean Sheet 10%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grindavik Afturelding
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 17
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1 3.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Division 1
Grindavik vs Afturelding
1:3
Jul 30, 2024 Division 1
Grindavik vs Afturelding
0:3
May 25, 2024 Division 1
Afturelding vs Grindavik
1:1
Aug 10, 2023 Division 1
Afturelding vs Grindavik
1:2
Jun 1, 2023 Division 1
Grindavik vs Afturelding
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grindavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Holtan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saevarsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grindavik 10 / 100
Afturelding 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grindavik Afturelding

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afturelding's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Grindavik has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Grindavik found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Grindavik VS Afturelding
1 Goals Scored 3.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afturelding14101343:2131
2Fylkir14100432:2030
3Kopavogur1481530:2425
4Throttur1373326:1424
5Vestri1463524:2521
6Njardvik1462620:1920
7Leiknir Reykjavik1454519:1919
8Grotta1361623:2719
9Grindavik1327415:1813
10IR Reykjavik1433825:3612
11Volsungur1315717:338
12Aegir14221018:368