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Grixoa vs Arosa SC

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2013/2014 game between Grixoa and Arosa SC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grixoa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Grixoa
35%
Draws
40%
Arosa SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arosa SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arosa SC come out ahead of Grixoa on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Grixoa Clean Sheet 16%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grixoa Arosa SC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 17
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.8 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Grixoa vs Arosa SC
1:0
Nov 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Grixoa
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grixoa 31 / 100
Arosa SC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grixoa Arosa SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arosa SC has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Grixoa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Grixoa scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arosa SC
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grixoa

(Home)
11 May
Grixoa
0 : 1
Rapido de Bouzas
04 May
Alondras
2 : 2
Grixoa
27 Apr
Grixoa
0 : 0
Betanzos CF
17 Apr
CD AS Pontes
3 : 0
Grixoa
13 Apr
Grixoa
3 : 2
Laracha
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Arosa SC

(Away)
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1
Pontevedra
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Somozas 38 22 9 7 72:36 75
2 Cerceda 38 21 11 6 61:27 74
3 CD Boiro 38 19 17 2 66:37 74
4 Pontevedra 38 22 7 9 47:27 73
5 CD AS Pontes 38 21 10 7 72:42 73
6 CD Choco 38 19 8 11 67:51 65
7 Arosa SC 38 16 11 11 48:39 59
8 SD Ordenes 38 17 7 14 49:38 58
9 Deportivo Fabril 38 14 12 12 54:55 54
10 Rapido de Bouzas 38 14 9 15 46:51 51
11 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 12 15 11 43:43 51
12 Alondras 38 13 7 18 46:51 46
13 Racing Club Villalbes 38 12 10 16 31:47 46
14 Bertamirans FC 38 10 12 16 34:45 42
15 Laracha 38 9 10 19 31:54 37
16 CD Cultural Areas 38 10 5 23 46:74 35
17 Grixoa 38 7 12 19 32:55 33
18 Betanzos CF 38 5 16 17 30:55 31
19 Dorneda 38 8 7 23 33:57 31
20 SD Negreira 38 8 7 23 36:60 31
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)