Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2011/2012

FK Madona Kvarcs

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Grobina play FK Madona Kvarcs in the Latvian Cup 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Grobina averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. FK Madona Kvarcs averaged 1.55 goals scored and 4.18 conceded. In past meetings, Grobina won 0, FK Madona Kvarcs won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 16, 2011 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Grobina and 1.50 for FK Madona Kvarcs. This points to a FK Madona Kvarcs double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Grobina

26%

Draws

42%

FK Madona Kvarcs

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: FK Madona Kvarcs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Grobina picked up more points recently compared to FK Madona Kvarcs.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Grobina Clean Sheet 16%

FK Madona Kvarcs Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Grobina	FK Madona Kvarcs
Matches Played	31	11
Wins	7	4
Draws	11	0
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	0.97	1.55
Goals Conceded	1.48	4.18

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2011 Latvian Cup

Grobina vs FK Madona Kvarcs

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grobina 32 / 100

FK Madona Kvarcs 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Grobina FK Madona Kvarcs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Madona Kvarcs or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Grobina attacking → ← attacking FK Madona Kvarcs

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grobina scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

FK Madona Kvarcs let in goals in 82% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Grobina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Madona Kvarcs lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 12

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00