Sport Picks

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Grobina vs New Project

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grobina in this 1. Liga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grobina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Grobina
20%
Draws
30%
New Project
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grobina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • New Project haven't matched Grobina's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and New Project have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Grobina Clean Sheet 20%
New Project Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grobina New Project
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 12 2
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.44 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.78 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2019 1. Liga
New Project vs Grobina
8:1
Jul 27, 2019 1. Liga
Grobina vs New Project
3:1
Apr 27, 2019 1. Liga
New Project vs Grobina
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grobina 36 / 100
New Project 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grobina New Project

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Project Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: New Project conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.33 goals when they meet.

Grobina found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (41 games).

Solid form: Grobina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grobina VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grobina

(Home)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
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New Project

(Away)
10 Nov
New Project
0 : 3
Dinamo Riga
02 Nov
FK Smiltene
3 : 0
New Project
27 Oct
New Project
0 : 1
Rezekne
19 Oct
FK Auda Riga
2 : 1
New Project
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tukums 2000 27 24 2 1 112:14 74
2 Super Nova 27 19 1 7 95:27 58
3 FK Smiltene 27 17 2 8 78:52 53
4 Alberts JDFS 27 16 3 8 70:47 51
5 FK Auda Riga 27 14 3 10 62:51 45
6 Rezekne 27 13 4 10 72:56 43
7 Grobina 27 10 0 17 56:104 30
8 New Project 27 6 2 19 35:62 20
9 Dinamo Riga 27 6 1 20 39:78 19
10 Balvu SC 27 1 0 26 23:151 3
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