Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grobina vs Ogre United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Grobiņas pilsētas stadions, Grobina
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Marchuk A.
Assist: Lormanis M.
35'
Yamada H.
42'
Gulbis K.

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between Grobina and Ogre United finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Grobina
30%
Draws
31%
Ogre United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grobina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ogre United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Grobina Clean Sheet 68%
Ogre United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grobina Ogre United
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 6 7
Draws 12 7
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 0.79 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs Ogre United
2:2
May 25, 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs Grobina
1:1
Apr 13, 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs Grobina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Corryn M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ogre United Compare

Top Goalscorer Marchuk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalnins M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grobina 41 / 100
Ogre United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grobina Ogre United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grobina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ogre United has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Grobina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ogre United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grobina VS Ogre United
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Grobina

(Home)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 7

Ogre United

(Away)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)