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Stadium Background

Grobina vs RFS

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Grobiņas pilsētas stadions, Grobina
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Saidy M.
Assist: Mankenda G.
31' Event
Kigurs M.
Assist: Saidy M.
50' Event
Baravykas R.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between Grobina and RFS finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Grobina
20%
Draws
57%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RFS come out ahead of Grobina on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on RFS taking it.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • RFS have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%
RFS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grobina RFS
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 22
Draws 9 3
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 0.79 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Grobina
6:1
Jun 13, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs RFS
1:3
Apr 22, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs RFS
0:1
Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
RFS vs Grobina
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Virsliga
RFS vs Grobina
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Puzirevskis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Saidy M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kigurs M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grobina 10 / 100
RFS 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grobina RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Grobina scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

RFS let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Grobina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grobina VS RFS
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grobina

(Home)
10 Aug
RFS
6 : 1
Grobina
02 Aug
Riga FC
4 : 0
Grobina
27 Jul
Grobina
2 : 2
Ogre United
20 Jul
Super Nova
2 : 0
Grobina
12 Jul
Marupe
0 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 6

RFS

(Away)
10 Aug
RFS
6 : 1
Grobina
06 Aug
Jablonec
2 : 0
RFS
30 Jul
Vestri
1 : 1
RFS
27 Jul
Tukums 2000
0 : 1
RFS
23 Jul
RFS
4 : 1
Vestri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 25 21 2 2 62:17 65
2 Riga FC 25 20 4 1 76:21 64
3 FK Auda Riga 24 14 4 6 39:26 46
4 BFC Daugavpils 26 10 6 10 33:31 36
5 FK Liepaja 25 10 4 11 33:37 34
6 Super Nova 24 8 3 13 26:37 27
7 Jelgava 26 6 7 13 25:44 25
8 Grobina 26 4 9 13 18:47 21
9 Tukums 2000 26 4 8 14 40:51 20
10 Ogre United 25 3 5 17 24:65 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga 2027 (Main)