Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grobina vs RFS

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Grobiņas pilsētas stadions, Grobina
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Saidy M.
Assist: Mankenda G.
31' Event
Kigurs M.
Assist: Saidy M.
50' Event
Baravykas R.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between Grobina and RFS finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Grobina
35%
Draws
40%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RFS come out ahead of Grobina on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on RFS taking it.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • RFS have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%
RFS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grobina RFS
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 22
Draws 11 5
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.73 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Grobina
6:1
Jun 13, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs RFS
1:3
Apr 22, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs RFS
0:1
Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
RFS vs Grobina
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Virsliga
RFS vs Grobina
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Puzirevskis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Saidy M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kigurs M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grobina 22 / 100
RFS 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grobina RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Grobina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Grobina scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

RFS let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grobina VS RFS
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grobina

(Home)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 6

RFS

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)