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Grobnican vs Segesta

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Momcilovski M.
52' Event
Vinars E.
Own Goal
55' Event
Spehar D.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2025/2026 game between Grobnican and Segesta finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grobnican.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Grobnican
20%
Draws
47%
Segesta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Segesta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Grobnican haven't matched Segesta's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Segesta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Segesta here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Grobnican Clean Sheet 10%
Segesta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grobnican Segesta
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 23
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.41 2.78
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Druga NL
Grobnican vs Segesta
3:2
Oct 11, 2025 Druga NL
Segesta vs Grobnican
4:1
Apr 26, 2025 Druga NL
Segesta vs Grobnican
4:0
Oct 26, 2024 Druga NL
Grobnican vs Segesta
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grobnican Compare

Top Goalscorer Momcilovski M.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Segesta Compare

Top Goalscorer Spehar D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.25
Avg xA / game 1.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grobnican 10 / 100
Segesta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grobnican Segesta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Segesta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Grobnican's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Grobnican went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Segesta let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grobnican VS Segesta
1.33 Goals Scored 3.13
1.83 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Grobnican

(Home)
29 Aug
Grobnican
1 : 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
22 Aug
Grobnican
0 : 3
Uskok Klis
29 Jul
Orijent
1 : 1
Grobnican
29 May
Uljanik Pula
2 : 5
Grobnican
23 May
Grobnican
1 : 5
Trnje
Page 1 of 6

Segesta

(Away)
28 Aug
Vukovar 1991
2 : 0
Segesta
25 Aug
Slatina
0 : 18
Segesta
22 Aug
Segesta
3 : 1
Orijent
14 Aug
Segesta
2 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
01 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Segesta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
Promotion - Prva NL (Main)