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Groene Ster vs Roda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Groene Ster host Roda in the Club Friendly. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Groene Ster at 1.38 goals for, 2.41 against; Roda at 1.44 for, 1.11 against. Past meetings favor Roda slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.75) point toward Roda. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Groene Ster
20%
Draws
58%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Roda's 1.44 goals per match outpaces what Groene Ster have produced (1.38).
  • Roda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Roda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 12%
Roda Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groene Ster Roda
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Groene Ster vs Roda
0:0
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Groene Ster vs Roda
0:3
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Groene Ster vs Roda
0:4
Jul 30, 2019 Club Friendly
Groene Ster vs Roda
1:2
Jul 12, 2017 Club Friendly
Groene Ster vs Roda
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groene Ster 10 / 100
Roda 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groene Ster Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groene Ster found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Roda has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Groene Ster went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Groene Ster VS Roda
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Groene Ster

(Home)
18 Oct
Dongen
3 : 0
Groene Ster
11 Oct
Groene Ster
2 : 1
GOES
03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1
Groene Ster
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2
Gemert
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6
AFC
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Roda

(Away)
19 Oct
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2
Roda
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1
Jong PSV
04 Oct
Venlo
2 : 0
Roda
26 Sept
Roda
2 : 0
Waalwijk
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0
Roda
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