Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Roosendaal in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Roosendaal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Groene Ster
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Groene Ster haven't matched Roosendaal's recent run of results.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Roosendaal here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 13%
Roosendaal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Groene Ster | Roosendaal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs Roosendaal
1:3
Mar 15, 2026 Derde Divisie
Roosendaal vs Groene Ster
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs Roosendaal
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Groene Ster 30 / 100
Roosendaal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Groene Ster Roosendaal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Groene Ster Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Roosendaal has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.
Groene Ster's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Groene Ster has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Groene Ster VS Roosendaal
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Groene Ster
(Home) 22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6 AFC
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1 Groene Ster
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
02 Sept
Groene Ster
2 : 1 VV Heerjansdam
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6 AFC
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
02 Sept
Groene Ster
2 : 1 VV Heerjansdam
30 Aug
Groene Ster
3 : 3 VVSB
16 Aug
Groene Ster
1 : 3 Roosendaal
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Roosendaal
(Away) 22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1 Roosendaal
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0 Roosendaal
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3 Blauw Geel
05 Sept
Roosendaal
3 : 0 Achilles Veen
02 Sept
GSV 28
0 : 4 Roosendaal
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1 Roosendaal
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0 Roosendaal
02 Sept
GSV 28
0 : 4 Roosendaal
29 Aug
VV Noordwijk
1 : 0 Roosendaal
16 Aug
Groene Ster
1 : 3 Roosendaal
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Genemuiden | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 15 |
| 4 | VV Scherpenzeel | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 13 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14:9 | 12 |
| 7 | Purmersteijn | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 8 | TEC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17:14 | 8 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | 7 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 12 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 5 |
| 13 | VV DOVO | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:13 | 5 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | 3 |
| 15 | USV Hercules | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:20 | 3 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:19 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13:20 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:0 | 16 |
| 2 | Lisse | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 6 | GOES | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 7 | SV Poortugaal | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 8 | Dongen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 9 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Gemert | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 11 | VVSB | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 12 | VV Zwaluwen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 7 |
| 13 | UNA | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | 6 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 15 | Roosendaal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 16 | Achilles Veen | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | 3 |
| 17 | TOGB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 2 |
| 18 | EVV | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
