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Groene Ster vs UNA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Groene Ster host UNA in the Derde Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Groene Ster have averaged 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded recently, against UNA's 1.48 scored and 1.71 conceded. Past meetings favor UNA slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 2.06) point toward Groene Ster. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Groene Ster
20%
Draws
32%
UNA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Groene Ster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Groene Ster lately — more wins on the board than UNA.
  • Model gives UNA a 32% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 10%
UNA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groene Ster UNA
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs UNA
0:4
Oct 5, 2025 Derde Divisie
UNA vs Groene Ster
2:0
Mar 24, 2024 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs UNA
3:1
Oct 15, 2023 Derde Divisie
UNA vs Groene Ster
1:0
May 14, 2023 Derde Divisie
UNA vs Groene Ster
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groene Ster 14 / 100
UNA 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groene Ster UNA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNA has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Groene Ster scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: UNA has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Groene Ster VS UNA
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Groene Ster

(Home)
18 Oct
Dongen
3 : 0
Groene Ster
11 Oct
Groene Ster
2 : 1
GOES
03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1
Groene Ster
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2
Gemert
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6
AFC
Page 1 of 6

UNA

(Away)
18 Oct
UNA
0 : 2
RKSV UDI 19
10 Oct
SV Poortugaal
1 : 0
UNA
04 Oct
Blauw Geel
1 : 1
UNA
27 Sept
UNA
2 : 2
Dongen
20 Sept
GOES
2 : 1
UNA
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 10 5 4 1 18:14 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
14 Eemdijk 9 2 1 6 13:28 7
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)