Sport Picks
Groene Ster vs VV Zwaluwen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
Groene Ster in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Groene Ster.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Zwaluwen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to VV Zwaluwen lately — more wins on the board than Groene Ster.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on VV Zwaluwen taking it.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Groene Ster here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 10%
VV Zwaluwen Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Groene Ster | VV Zwaluwen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs VV Zwaluwen
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Zwaluwen vs Groene Ster
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs VV Zwaluwen
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Groene Ster 10 / 100
VV Zwaluwen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Groene Ster VV Zwaluwen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VV Zwaluwen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Groene Ster scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
VV Zwaluwen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Groene Ster has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Groene Ster VS VV Zwaluwen
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Groene Ster
(Home) 03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1 Groene Ster
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2 Gemert
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6 AFC
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1 Groene Ster
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2 Gemert
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6 AFC
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
02 Sept
Groene Ster
2 : 1 VV Heerjansdam
30 Aug
Groene Ster
3 : 3 VVSB
Page 1 of 4
VV Zwaluwen
(Away) 03 Oct
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Achilles Veen
26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2 VV Zwaluwen
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1 Purmersteijn
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Lisse
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2 VV Zwaluwen
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
02 Sept
Lierop
0 : 7 VV Zwaluwen
29 Aug
SV Poortugaal
3 : 1 VV Zwaluwen
15 Aug
Dongen
4 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
