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Groene Ster vs VVSB - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between Groene Ster and VVSB finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Groene Ster
15%
Draws
49%
VVSB
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VVSB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VVSB come out ahead of Groene Ster on wins alone.
  • Model gives VVSB a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 10%
VVSB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groene Ster VVSB
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs VVSB
3:3
Feb 7, 2026 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Groene Ster
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs VVSB
1:1
Feb 5, 2023 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs VVSB
2:3
Sep 11, 2022 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Groene Ster
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groene Ster 18 / 100
VVSB 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groene Ster VVSB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VVSB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groene Ster found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

VVSB let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

VVSB's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Groene Ster VS VVSB
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Groene Ster

(Home)
18 Oct
Dongen
3 : 0
Groene Ster
11 Oct
Groene Ster
2 : 1
GOES
03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1
Groene Ster
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2
Gemert
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6
AFC
Page 1 of 6

VVSB

(Away)
17 Oct
TOGB
3 : 3
VVSB
10 Oct
VVSB
0 : 2
Blauw Geel
03 Oct
VVSB
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
26 Sept
Roosendaal
3 : 1
VVSB
22 Sept
Rijnvogels
0 : 1
VVSB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 10 5 4 1 18:14 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
14 Eemdijk 9 2 1 6 13:28 7
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)