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Stadium Background

Grohn vs Aumund-Vegesack

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bremen game between Grohn and Aumund-Vegesack finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grohn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Grohn
15%
Draws
46%
Aumund-Vegesack
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aumund-Vegesack

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Aumund-Vegesack carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aumund-Vegesack's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bremen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Grohn Clean Sheet 20%
Aumund-Vegesack Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grohn Aumund-Vegesack
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 14
Draws 2 3
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.43 2.31
Goals Conceded 4.43 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Grohn vs Aumund-Vegesack
1:0
Mar 26, 2017 Oberliga Bremen
Grohn vs Aumund-Vegesack
2:4
Dec 17, 2016 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs Grohn
4:4
Apr 27, 2016 Oberliga Bremen
Grohn vs Aumund-Vegesack
0:6
Apr 23, 2016 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs Grohn
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grohn 10 / 100
Aumund-Vegesack 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grohn Aumund-Vegesack

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aumund-Vegesack Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aumund-Vegesack has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Grohn scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Grohn stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grohn VS Aumund-Vegesack
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grohn

(Home)
26 Sept
BTS Neustadt
2 : 1
Grohn
20 Sept
Grohn
2 : 1
Werder Bremen III
13 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
4 : 3
Grohn
06 Sept
Grohn
2 : 5
Blumenthaler
30 Aug
Vatan Bremen
2 : 3
Grohn
Page 1 of 6

Aumund-Vegesack

(Away)
26 Sept
Aumund-Vegesack
1 : 1
Hemelingen
19 Sept
Woltmershausen
1 : 7
Aumund-Vegesack
12 Sept
Aumund-Vegesack
2 : 3
Union 60 Bremen
04 Sept
Oberneuland
2 : 3
Aumund-Vegesack
29 Aug
Aumund-Vegesack
2 : 3
Brinkumer
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemelingen 8 7 1 0 31:3 22
2 Blumenthaler 8 7 0 1 31:8 21
3 Brinkumer 8 7 0 1 28:7 21
4 OSC Bremerhaven 8 6 1 1 33:6 19
5 Aumund-Vegesack 8 4 1 3 22:16 13
6 Union 60 Bremen 8 3 3 2 17:15 12
7 Eiche Horn 8 3 3 2 8:12 12
8 Vatan Bremen 8 3 1 4 19:18 10
9 Grohn 8 3 1 4 13:22 10
10 Schwachhausen 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
11 BTS Neustadt 8 3 0 5 14:21 9
12 ESC Geestemunde 8 2 2 4 18:28 8
13 Leher 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
14 Werder Bremen III 8 1 1 6 12:24 4
15 Woltmershausen 8 1 1 6 10:32 4
16 Oberneuland 8 0 2 6 7:33 2
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg (Promotion)