Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Groningen U21 vs Jong Willem II

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
El Messaoudi A.
21' Event
Hrustic A.
42' Event
Itakura K.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Groningen U21 in this Reserve League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Groningen U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Groningen U21
15%
Draws
26%
Jong Willem II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Groningen U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Groningen U21 lately — more wins on the board than Jong Willem II.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Groningen U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Groningen U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Jong Willem II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groningen U21 Jong Willem II
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 17 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.8 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2020 Reserve League
Groningen U21 vs Jong Willem II
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Groningen U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer El Messaoudi A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hrustic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Jong Willem II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groningen U21 39 / 100
Jong Willem II 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groningen U21 Jong Willem II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Groningen U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groningen U21 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Jong Willem II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 25 matches.

Solid form: Groningen U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Groningen U21 VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Groningen U21

(Home)
19 Sept
G.A. Eagles U21
2 : 2
Groningen U21
12 Sept
Groningen U21
0 : 3
Zwolle U21
05 Sept
Groningen U21
4 : 0
FC Twente/Heracles U21
29 Aug
De Graafschap U21
1 : 2
Groningen U21
10 Jun
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Groningen U21
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Jong Willem II

(Away)
07 Oct
Jong Den Haag
0 : 1
Jong Willem II
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong Heerenveen
9 : 1
Jong Willem II
17 Feb
Jong Heracles
3 : 1
Jong Willem II
03 Feb
Groningen U21
4 : 1
Jong Willem II
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