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Groningen U21 vs Willem II U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U21
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Groningen U21 host Willem II U21 in the Divisie 1 U21. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Willem II U21 have shipped 1.65 goals a game lately, while Groningen U21 have conceded 1.47 and scored 1.64. Past meetings favor Groningen U21 slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.44 - 1.38) back Groningen U21 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Groningen U21
35%
Draws
19%
Willem II U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Groningen U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Groningen U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Groningen U21's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Groningen U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Willem II U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groningen U21 Willem II U21
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 19 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.64 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Willem II U21 vs Groningen U21
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Willem II U21 vs Groningen U21
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs Willem II U21
0:4
Dec 13, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs Willem II U21
1:0
Sep 9, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
Willem II U21 vs Groningen U21
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groningen U21 66 / 100
Willem II U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groningen U21 Willem II U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Groningen U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Groningen U21 scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.

Willem II U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Groningen U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Groningen U21 VS Willem II U21
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Groningen U21

(Home)
13 Oct
Willem II U21
0 : 0
Groningen U21
10 Oct
Groningen U21
1 : 4
Feyenoord U21
19 Sept
G.A. Eagles U21
2 : 2
Groningen U21
12 Sept
Groningen U21
0 : 3
Zwolle U21
05 Sept
Groningen U21
4 : 0
FC Twente/Heracles U21
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Willem II U21

(Away)
13 Oct
Willem II U21
0 : 0
Groningen U21
10 Oct
Willem II U21
1 : 3
FC Twente/Heracles U21
19 Sept
Willem II U21
0 : 2
De Graafschap U21
13 Sept
Willem II U21
2 : 3
Feyenoord U21
05 Sept
Cambuur U21
3 : 3
Willem II U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord U21 5 5 0 0 18:4 15
2 Cambuur U21 5 3 1 1 13:5 10
3 De Graafschap U21 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Zwolle U21 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
5 Groningen U21 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
6 FC Twente/Heracles U21 6 2 1 3 7:13 7
7 G.A. Eagles U21 6 1 2 3 5:14 5
8 Willem II U21 6 0 2 4 6:12 2
Promotion - Divisie 1 U21 (Play Offs)