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Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Euroborg, Groningen
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Groningen host Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Groningen at 1.75 goals for, 1.75 against; Sparta Rotterdam at 1.61 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Groningen have won 1 to Sparta Rotterdam's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.63 xG vs 2.00) point toward Groningen. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Groningen
30%
Draws
23%
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Groningen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Groningen come out ahead of Sparta Rotterdam on wins alone.
  • Groningen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sparta Rotterdam have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Groningen Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groningen Sparta Rotterdam
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen
2:0
Oct 30, 2025 KNVB Beker
Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen
5:2
Oct 19, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam
0:2
Feb 2, 2025 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groningen 83 / 100
Sparta Rotterdam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groningen Sparta Rotterdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Groningen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groningen's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sparta Rotterdam has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Groningen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Groningen VS Sparta Rotterdam
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Groningen

(Home)
25 Oct
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Groningen
18 Oct
Groningen
2 : 5
Ajax
11 Oct
Excelsior
1 : 5
Groningen
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
12 Sept
G.A. Eagles
1 : 1
Groningen
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Sparta Rotterdam

(Away)
25 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 2
Ajax
17 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Willem II
10 Oct
G.A. Eagles
3 : 3
Sparta Rotterdam
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4
Heerenveen
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 10 7 3 0 32:11 24
2 Ajax 10 6 3 1 29:13 21
3 PSV 10 6 2 2 28:13 20
4 Twente 10 6 2 2 19:10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 2 2 20:12 20
6 Sittard 10 5 3 2 17:17 18
7 Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 18:13 15
8 Groningen 10 4 3 3 24:21 15
9 G.A. Eagles 10 3 5 2 23:23 14
10 Cambuur 10 3 3 4 19:22 12
11 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
12 Nijmegen 10 2 5 3 17:18 11
13 Excelsior 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 3 5 17:24 9
15 Zwolle 10 2 2 6 11:23 8
16 Telstar 10 1 3 6 12:21 6
17 Den Haag 10 1 3 6 13:23 6
18 Willem II 10 0 2 8 10:32 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)