Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Groningen vs Utrecht

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Euroborg, Groningen
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Groningen host Utrecht in the Eredivisie. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Groningen at 1.38 goals for, 2.13 against; Utrecht at 1.5 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Utrecht slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.81) back Utrecht to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Groningen
39%
Draws
30%
Utrecht
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Utrecht lately — more wins on the board than Groningen.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Utrecht here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Groningen Clean Sheet 11%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groningen Utrecht
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Utrecht
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Groningen
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Groningen
3:1
Oct 20, 2024 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Utrecht
0:1
Apr 7, 2023 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Utrecht
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groningen 30 / 100
Utrecht 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groningen Utrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UTR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groningen found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Utrecht conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Utrecht registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Groningen VS Utrecht
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Groningen

(Home)
25 Jul
Groningen
0 : 0
Volos
24 Jul
Groningen
0 : 4
FC Volendam
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2
AEK
11 Jul
Groningen
3 : 2
FC Emmen
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1
Groningen
Page 1 of 6

Utrecht

(Away)
24 Jul
Cambuur
0 : 1
Utrecht
24 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 0
Utrecht
17 Jul
Utrecht
3 : 2
V-Varen Nagasaki
07 Jul
Utrecht
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol
27 Jun
Utrecht
1 : 2
De Graafschap
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cambuur00000:00
2Sittard00000:00
3Telstar00000:00
4Zwolle00000:00
5PSV00000:00
6Ajax00000:00
7Twente00000:00
8Heerenveen00000:00
9Feyenoord00000:00
10Nijmegen00000:00
11Utrecht00000:00
12AZ Alkmaar00000:00
13Sparta Rotterdam00000:00
14Willem II00000:00
15Excelsior00000:00
16Den Haag00000:00
17G.A. Eagles00000:00
18Groningen00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)