Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Willumsson B.
30'
30'
Sub
Rente M. In: van der Laan E.
Out: Rente M.
34'
34'
Willumsson B.
AI Match Summary
Groningen in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Groningen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Utrecht lately — more wins on the board than Groningen.
- Groningen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Groningen Clean Sheet 13%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Groningen | Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Utrecht
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Utrecht
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Groningen
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Groningen
3:1
Oct 20, 2024 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Utrecht
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Groningen Compare
Top Goalscorer Willumsson B.
1 Goals Assists Leader van Bergen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Utrecht Compare
Top Goalscorer Blake A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Groningen 84 / 100
Utrecht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Groningen Utrecht
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Groningen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Groningen scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Utrecht conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Groningen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Groningen VS Utrecht
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Groningen
(Home) 18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0 Zwolle
12 Sept
G.A. Eagles
1 : 1 Groningen
06 Sept
Groningen
2 : 2 Twente
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3 Sittard
23 Aug
PSV
5 : 1 Groningen
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0 Zwolle
06 Sept
Groningen
2 : 2 Twente
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3 Sittard
09 Aug
Groningen
2 : 1 Utrecht
01 Aug
Groningen
1 : 0 Valladolid
Page 1 of 4
Utrecht
(Away) 20 Sept
Feyenoord
5 : 0 Utrecht
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2 Utrecht
08 Sept
Utrecht
3 : 3 G.A. Eagles
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6 PSV
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3 Utrecht
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Feyenoord
5 : 0 Utrecht
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2 Utrecht
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3 Utrecht
09 Aug
Groningen
2 : 1 Utrecht
24 Jul
Cambuur
0 : 1 Utrecht
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
