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Grorud 2 vs Gjellerasen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Khris W.
30' Event
Severinsen G.
59' Event
Aarflot E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2023 game between Grorud 2 and Gjellerasen finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gjellerasen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Grorud 2
15%
Draws
57%
Gjellerasen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gjellerasen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gjellerasen come out ahead of Grorud 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Grorud 2 a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Grorud 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Gjellerasen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grorud 2 Gjellerasen
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.37 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.77 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Grorud 2 vs Gjellerasen
1:3
Jun 10, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Gjellerasen vs Grorud 2
3:1
Aug 21, 2021 Division 3 - Group 1
Grorud 2 vs Gjellerasen
0:3
Oct 10, 2020 Division 3 - Group 1
Gjellerasen vs Grorud 2
0:0
Aug 25, 2020 Division 3 - Group 1
Grorud 2 vs Gjellerasen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grorud 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aarflot E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Gjellerasen Compare

Top Goalscorer Khris W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Severinsen G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grorud 2 85 / 100
Gjellerasen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grorud 2 Gjellerasen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grorud 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gjellerasen let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Grorud 2's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Gjellerasen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gjellerasen
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grorud 2

(Home)
29 Oct
Lillestrom 2
4 : 2
Grorud 2
22 Oct
Grorud 2
1 : 5
OS TF
15 Oct
Gneist IL
2 : 1
Grorud 2
08 Oct
Grorud 2
3 : 1
Skjetten
02 Oct
Frigg
4 : 1
Grorud 2
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Gjellerasen

(Away)
27 Oct
Gjellerasen
1 : 5
Funnefoss/Vormsund
20 Oct
Ready
7 : 0
Gjellerasen
06 Oct
Gjellerasen
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
28 Sept
Skjetten
4 : 0
Gjellerasen
22 Sept
Gjellerasen
2 : 0
Hodd 2
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