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Grosseto vs Colligiana

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grosseto in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grosseto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Grosseto
30%
Draws
8%
Colligiana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Grosseto have won more games recently than Colligiana.
  • Model gives Grosseto a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 20%
Colligiana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosseto Colligiana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.59 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Grosseto vs Colligiana
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosseto 85 / 100
Colligiana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosseto Colligiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grosseto scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Colligiana let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Grosseto stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grosseto VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosseto

(Home)
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Sassari Torres
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Colligiana

(Away)
27 Aug
Grosseto
4 : 0
Colligiana
06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3
Villabiagio
29 Apr
Sangiovannese
1 : 0
Colligiana
22 Apr
Colligiana
0 : 2
Forli FC
15 Apr
Castelvetro
1 : 1
Colligiana
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