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Grosseto vs Figline

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 Stadio Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Possenti M.
72'
Torrini L.
72'
Torrini L.

AI Match Summary

Grosseto in this Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grosseto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Grosseto
35%
Draws
25%
Figline
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grosseto lately — more wins on the board than Figline.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 68%
Figline Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosseto Figline
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.43 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Figline
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Figline vs Grosseto
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Figline
3:3
Oct 29, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Figline vs Grosseto
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosseto Compare

Top Goalscorer Possenti M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Figline Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosseto 41 / 100
Figline 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosseto Figline

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grosseto scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Figline has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Grosseto stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grosseto VS Figline
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosseto

(Home)
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 6

Figline

(Away)
19 Aug
Montevarchi
0 : 0
Figline
11 May
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 0
Figline
04 May
Figline
4 : 1
Livorno
27 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
Figline
17 Apr
Figline
0 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)