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AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Grosseto have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Guidonia 1937's 0.93 scored and 1.3 conceded. Head-to-head, Grosseto have won 1 to Guidonia 1937's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.06, favoring Grosseto. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Grosseto lately — more wins on the board than Guidonia 1937.
- Model gives Grosseto a 37% chance of winning this.
- Grosseto have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Grosseto, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grosseto | Guidonia 1937 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 3 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grosseto Compare
Guidonia 1937 Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Grosseto found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Guidonia 1937 conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Grosseto went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.