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Grosseto vs Guidonia 1937

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto
Fri, Aug 14, 2026
3 - 0
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Fiorini P.
15' Event
Mannelli M.
44' Event
Baroni R.

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Grosseto have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Guidonia 1937's 0.93 scored and 1.3 conceded. Head-to-head, Grosseto have won 1 to Guidonia 1937's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.06, favoring Grosseto. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Grosseto
35%
Draws
28%
Guidonia 1937
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grosseto lately — more wins on the board than Guidonia 1937.
  • Model gives Grosseto a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Grosseto have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Grosseto, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 68%
Guidonia 1937 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosseto Guidonia 1937
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 14 3
Draws 9 12
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Grosseto vs Guidonia 1937
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosseto Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiorini P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mannelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Guidonia 1937 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baroni R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sannipoli D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosseto 59 / 100
Guidonia 1937 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosseto Guidonia 1937

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grosseto found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Guidonia 1937 conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Grosseto went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grosseto VS Guidonia 1937
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosseto

(Home)
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
Page 1 of 6

Guidonia 1937

(Away)
27 Sept
Vis Pesaro
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
21 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Livorno
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Reggiana
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pianese
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -