Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto

Grosseto

2 - 3

Ostiamare

Our Tip

Match Events

Vianni S.

13'

Vianni S.

32'

Regoli V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ostiamare in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostiamare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%

Grosseto

20%

Draws

22%

Ostiamare

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Ostiamare lately — more wins on the board than Grosseto.
Win probability leans Grosseto's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Grosseto Clean Sheet 20%

Ostiamare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Grosseto	Ostiamare
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	16
Draws	7	7
Losses	7	6
Goals Scored	1.46	1.66
Goals Conceded	0.86	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Serie D - Group A

Grosseto vs Ostiamare

2:3

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group E

Ostiamare vs Grosseto

1:0

Nov 30, 2024 Serie D - Group E

Grosseto vs Ostiamare

1:0

Mar 11, 2023 Serie D - Group E

Grosseto vs Ostiamare

0:0

Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group E

Ostiamare vs Grosseto

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosseto Compare

Top Goalscorer Regoli V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Marzierli E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Ostiamare Compare

Top Goalscorer Vianni S.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Vagnoni M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosseto 85 / 100

Ostiamare 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Grosseto Ostiamare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grosseto's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Grosseto has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ostiamare lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grosseto VS Ostiamare

1.13 Goals Scored 1

1.25 Goals Conceded 2

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosseto

(Home)

08 Aug

Grosseto

3 : 1

Terranuova Traiana

05 Aug

Grosseto

2 : 2

Tau

02 Aug

Perugia

1 : 1

Grosseto

29 Jul

Grosseto

1 : 2

San Donato Tavarnelle

17 May

Desenzano Calvina

0 : 1

Grosseto

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Ostiamare

(Away)

05 Aug

Lazio

4 : 0

Ostiamare

26 Jul

Ostiamare

0 : 2

Benevento

13 May

Grosseto

2 : 3

Ostiamare

10 May

Ostiamare

0 : 2

Desenzano Calvina

03 May

Giulianova

4 : 0

Ostiamare

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