Sport Picks

Grosseto vs Ostiamare Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto

Grosseto

2 - 3

Ostiamare

Our Tip

Match Events

Vianni S.

13'

Vianni S.

32'

Regoli V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ostiamare in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostiamare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Grosseto

30%

Draws

33%

Ostiamare

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Ostiamare lately — more wins on the board than Grosseto.
Win probability leans Grosseto's way, sitting at 40%.
Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Grosseto Clean Sheet 20%

Ostiamare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Grosseto	Ostiamare
Matches Played	28	32
Wins	12	16
Draws	9	5
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.43	1.59
Goals Conceded	1	1.22
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie C - Group B

Ostiamare vs Grosseto

1:2

May 13, 2026 Serie D - Group A

Grosseto vs Ostiamare

2:3

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group E

Ostiamare vs Grosseto

1:0

Nov 30, 2024 Serie D - Group E

Grosseto vs Ostiamare

1:0

Mar 11, 2023 Serie D - Group E

Grosseto vs Ostiamare

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosseto Compare

Top Goalscorer Regoli V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Marzierli E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Ostiamare Compare

Top Goalscorer Vianni S.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Vagnoni M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosseto 40 / 100

Ostiamare 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Grosseto Ostiamare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grosseto's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ostiamare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Grosseto went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grosseto VS Ostiamare

1.75 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosseto

(Home)

26 Sept

Pineto

0 : 4

Grosseto

20 Sept

Grosseto

2 : 0

Perugia

16 Sept

Grosseto

2 : 2

Campobasso

12 Sept

Pianese

0 : 0

Grosseto

09 Sept

Grosseto

1 : 4

Latina

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Ostiamare

(Away)

27 Sept

Ostiamare

1 : 1

Forli FC

20 Sept

Gubbio

0 : 2

Ostiamare

16 Sept

Ostiamare

0 : 1

Ravenna

13 Sept

Sassari Torres

3 : 2

Ostiamare

05 Sept

Vis Pesaro

1 : 2

Ostiamare

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