Sport Picks
Grosseto vs Sambenedettese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group B Stadio Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto 
Match Events
10'
10'
Piccoli M.
Assist: Nicoli S.
15'
15'
Sgarbi L.
Assist: Piccoli M.
38'
38'
Nicoli S.
AI Match Summary
Sambenedettese in this Serie C - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sambenedettese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grosseto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Grosseto have won more games recently than Sambenedettese.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Grosseto taking it.
- Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 68%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grosseto | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Grosseto vs Sambenedettese
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grosseto Compare
Top Goalscorer Mastroianni F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Sambenedettese Compare
Top Goalscorer Piccoli M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sgarbi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grosseto 77 / 100
Sambenedettese 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grosseto Sambenedettese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Grosseto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Grosseto found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Sambenedettese has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Grosseto has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Grosseto VS Sambenedettese
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Grosseto
(Home) 03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3 Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4 Grosseto
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2 Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3 Sambenedettese
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2 Campobasso
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4 Latina
06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 4
Sambenedettese
(Away) 03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3 Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Campobasso
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3 Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3 Sambenedettese
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
02 Sept
Altamura
3 : 2 Sambenedettese
29 Aug
Sassari Torres
1 : 0 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:4 | 17 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Reggiana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 5 | Livorno | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Perugia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 13 |
| 7 | Guidonia 1937 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 8 | Campobasso | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 9 | Sassari Torres | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 12 |
| 10 | Pescara | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Forli FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:12 | 10 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 13 | Ostiamare | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Vado | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Pineto | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 16 | Gubbio | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 17 | Latina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 18 | Pianese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 19 | Sambenedettese | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 5 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:16 | 4 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
